{"id":4816,"date":"2023-10-01T14:57:51","date_gmt":"2023-10-01T11:57:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/?p=4816"},"modified":"2025-08-20T12:39:17","modified_gmt":"2025-08-20T09:39:17","slug":"mutlak-gelir-hipotezi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/mutlak-gelir-hipotezi\/","title":{"rendered":"Mutlak Gelir Hipotezi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Mutlak gelir hipotezi t\u00fcketimle harcanabilir ki\u015filsel gelirdeki de\u011fi\u015fimlerin ili\u015fkisini inceler. <a href=\"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/kati-yapiskan-ucret-modeli-nedir\/\">\u00a0Keynes Genel Teori \u2018de<\/a> t\u00fcketim konusunda \u00fc\u00e7 varsay\u0131mda bulunmu\u015ftur. Bunlardan birincisi, faiz haddinin klasik iktisat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n ileri s\u00fcrd\u00fcklerinin aksine t\u00fcketim \u00fczerinde belirleyici bir rol\u00fcn\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 &#8211; t\u00fcketimin gelir d\u00fczeyine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fi hususudur.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/The_General_Theory_of_Employment,_Interest_and_Money\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Keynes\u2019in Genel Teori \u2018de<\/a> t\u00fcketim konusunda benimsedi\u011fi ikinci varsay\u0131m, harcanabilir ki\u015fisel gelir art\u0131nca t\u00fcketimin de artt\u0131\u011f\u0131, ancak t\u00fcketimdeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n gelirdeki art\u0131\u015ftan daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck oldu\u011fu, k\u0131saca harcanabilir ki\u015fisel gelir art\u0131nca t\u00fcketimin gelirden daha az artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 hususudur. Keynes temel psikolojik kanun olarak nitelendirdi\u011fi bu hususu, harcanabilir gelirdeki 1 liral\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fmenin t\u00fcketimde ka\u00e7 liral\u0131k bir de\u011fi\u015fmeye yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade eden marjinal t\u00fcketim e\u011filiminin <em>( c=\u0394C \/ \u0394Y, Y =DPI ) <\/em>s\u0131f\u0131rdan b\u00fcy\u00fck fakat birden k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck oldu\u011funu kabul ederek formelle\u015ftirmi\u015ftir:<\/p>\n<p>C = C(Y), 0&lt;c&lt;1<\/p>\n<p>Bu denklemde t\u00fcketimin gelir d\u00fczeyine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak de\u011fi\u015fmesi, t d\u00f6nemindeki ( bug\u00fcnk\u00fc ) t\u00fcketimin t d\u00f6nemindeki (bug\u00fcnk\u00fc ) gelire ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak de\u011fi\u015fmesi anlam\u0131ndad\u0131r. Bu y\u00f6n\u00fcyle Keynesyen t\u00fcketim fonksiyonu <strong><em>mutlak gelir hipotezi<\/em><\/strong> olarak nitelendirilir.<\/p>\n<p>Keynes\u2019in Genel Teori \u2018de t\u00fcketim konusunda benimsedi\u011fi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ve son varsay\u0131m, harcanabilir gelir art\u0131nca gelirin t\u00fcketim amac\u0131yla kullan\u0131lan k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n azalaca\u011f\u0131 hususudur. Bu varsay\u0131m Keynes\u2019in Genel Teori \u2018de gelirin ne kadar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcketime tahsis edildi\u011fini yans\u0131tan C\/Y oran\u0131na <strong><em>ortalama t\u00fcketim e\u011filimi<\/em><\/strong> dedi\u011fi hesaba kat\u0131larak ifade edilirse, Keynes\u2019e g\u00f6re gelir artt\u0131k\u00e7a ortalama t\u00fcketim e\u011filimi azal\u0131r (Y++, ortalama t\u00fcketim e\u011filimi (apc) &#8211;).<\/p>\n<p>Bu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda mutlak gelir hipotezi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki gibi ifade edilebilir;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-4817\" src=\"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Formulu.jpg\" alt=\"Mutlak Gelir Hipotezi\" width=\"334\" height=\"95\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Formulu.jpg 334w, https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Formulu-300x85.jpg 300w, https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Formulu-150x43.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 334px) 100vw, 334px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u0130lk denklemde her iki taraf\u0131nda Y terimine b\u00f6l\u00fcnmesi suretiyle elde edilen ikinci denkleme g\u00f6re, harcanabilir ki\u015fisel gelir artt\u0131k\u00e7a C(o)\/Y ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla [(C(o)\/Y) + c] teriminin de\u011feri, ortalama t\u00fcketim e\u011filimi azal\u0131r: Harcanabilir gelir artt\u0131k\u00e7a t\u00fcketiciler gelirin daha az bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 t\u00fcketim amac\u0131yla kullan\u0131rlar. Ayr\u0131ca bu denkleme g\u00f6re apc\u00a0 &gt; c \u2018dir.<\/p>\n<p>Mutlak gelir hipotezi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki \u015fekilde g\u00f6sterilir;<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-4818\" src=\"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Grafigi.jpg\" alt=\"Mutlak Gelir Grafi\u011fi\" width=\"474\" height=\"295\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Grafigi.jpg 474w, https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Grafigi-300x187.jpg 300w, https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Grafigi-150x93.jpg 150w, https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Grafigi-450x280.jpg 450w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 474px) 100vw, 474px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Grafikte<em> C = Co + cY<\/em> \u00a0do\u011frusu,\u00a0 her \u015feyden \u00f6nce t\u00fcketimin gelir d\u00fczeyine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fini ve marjinal t\u00fcketim e\u011filiminin 0 ile 1 aras\u0131nda bir de\u011fere sahip oldu\u011funu yans\u0131t\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca <em>C = Co + cY<\/em> do\u011frusu \u00fczerindeki bir noktay\u0131 orijinle birle\u015ftiren \u00e7izginin e\u011fimi, o noktaya tekab\u00fcl eden gelir d\u00fczeyindeki ortalama t\u00fcketim e\u011filimine e\u015fittir. Bu husus hesaba kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, t\u00fcketim do\u011frusu \u00fczerindeki A, B ve D gibi noktalar\u0131 orijinle birle\u015ftiren \u00e7izgilerin gelir artt\u0131k\u00e7a yat\u0131kla\u015fmas\u0131 ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla da e\u011fimlerinin azalmas\u0131, gelir artt\u0131k\u00e7a ortalama t\u00fcketim e\u011filiminin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade eder. ( T\u00fcketim do\u011frusu \u00fczerindeki noktalar\u0131 orijinle birle\u015ftiren do\u011frular\u0131n t\u00fcketim do\u011frusunu alttan kesmeleri &#8211; daha dik olmalar\u0131 ise, ortalama t\u00fcketim e\u011filiminin marjinal t\u00fcketim e\u011filiminden b\u00fcy\u00fck oldu\u011funu yans\u0131t\u0131r apc &gt; c .<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"227\" data-end=\"291\"><strong data-start=\"231\" data-end=\"291\">1. Keynesyen T\u00fcketim Fonksiyonu ve Mutlak Gelir Hipotezi<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"293\" data-end=\"638\">Mutlak gelir hipotezi, t\u00fcketim ile harcanabilir gelir aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkiyi a\u00e7\u0131klamak i\u00e7in Keynes taraf\u0131ndan geli\u015ftirilen temel bir teoridir. Keynes\u2019e g\u00f6re, bireylerin t\u00fcketim kararlar\u0131 a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak <strong data-start=\"494\" data-end=\"523\">bug\u00fcnk\u00fc gelir d\u00fczeylerine<\/strong> ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r. Ge\u00e7mi\u015f veya gelecekteki gelir beklentileri bug\u00fcnk\u00fc t\u00fcketim davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00fczerinde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 etkiye sahiptir.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"640\" data-end=\"704\">Keynes\u2019in \u00f6nerdi\u011fi t\u00fcketim fonksiyonu \u015fu \u015fekilde ifade edilir:<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"706\" data-end=\"721\"><strong data-start=\"706\" data-end=\"721\">C = Co + cY<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"723\" data-end=\"732\">Burada:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"733\" data-end=\"911\">\n<li data-start=\"733\" data-end=\"770\">\n<p data-start=\"735\" data-end=\"770\"><strong data-start=\"735\" data-end=\"740\">C<\/strong>: Toplam t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"771\" data-end=\"825\">\n<p data-start=\"773\" data-end=\"825\"><strong data-start=\"773\" data-end=\"779\">Co<\/strong>: Otonom t\u00fcketim (gelirden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z t\u00fcketim)<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"826\" data-end=\"873\">\n<p data-start=\"828\" data-end=\"873\"><strong data-start=\"828\" data-end=\"833\">c<\/strong>: Marjinal t\u00fcketim e\u011filimi (0 &lt; c &lt; 1)<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"874\" data-end=\"911\">\n<p data-start=\"876\" data-end=\"911\"><strong data-start=\"876\" data-end=\"881\">Y<\/strong>: Harcanabilir ki\u015fisel gelir<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"913\" data-end=\"1165\">Bu denklem, gelir art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcketim \u00fczerindeki etkisini do\u011frusal bi\u00e7imde a\u00e7\u0131klarken, marjinal t\u00fcketim e\u011filiminin s\u0131f\u0131r ile bir aras\u0131nda oldu\u011funu vurgular. Yani gelir artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda t\u00fcketim de artar; ancak bu art\u0131\u015f gelir art\u0131\u015f\u0131na oranla daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kal\u0131r.<\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"1167\" data-end=\"1170\" \/>\n<h3 data-start=\"1172\" data-end=\"1222\"><strong data-start=\"1176\" data-end=\"1222\">2. Ortalama ve Marjinal T\u00fcketim E\u011filimleri<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1224\" data-end=\"1272\">Keynes\u2019in analizinde iki temel kavram bulunur:<\/p>\n<ol data-start=\"1274\" data-end=\"1528\">\n<li data-start=\"1274\" data-end=\"1408\">\n<p data-start=\"1277\" data-end=\"1408\"><strong data-start=\"1277\" data-end=\"1311\">Marjinal T\u00fcketim E\u011filimi (MPC)<\/strong>: Gelirdeki bir birimlik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ne kadar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcketime gitti\u011fini g\u00f6sterir.<br data-start=\"1385\" data-end=\"1388\" \/><strong data-start=\"1391\" data-end=\"1408\">MPC = \u0394C \/ \u0394Y<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1410\" data-end=\"1528\">\n<p data-start=\"1413\" data-end=\"1528\"><strong data-start=\"1413\" data-end=\"1447\">Ortalama T\u00fcketim E\u011filimi (APC)<\/strong>: Toplam gelirin ne kadar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcketime ayr\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir.<br data-start=\"1507\" data-end=\"1510\" \/><strong data-start=\"1513\" data-end=\"1528\">APC = C \/ Y<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p data-start=\"1530\" data-end=\"1787\">Mutlak gelir hipotezine g\u00f6re, <strong data-start=\"1560\" data-end=\"1589\">gelir artt\u0131k\u00e7a APC azal\u0131r<\/strong>, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00fcksek gelirli bireyler gelirlerinin daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 t\u00fcketime y\u00f6nlendirir. Ancak <strong data-start=\"1685\" data-end=\"1704\">MPC sabit kal\u0131r<\/strong>, yani ek gelirdeki birim de\u011fi\u015fim her gelir grubunda ayn\u0131 oranda t\u00fcketime yans\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1789\" data-end=\"1939\">Bu durum Keynes\u2019in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc varsay\u0131m\u0131yla da uyumludur: Harcanabilir gelir y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e, gelirin t\u00fcketim i\u00e7in ayr\u0131lan oran\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fer ve tasarruf oran\u0131 artar.<\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"1941\" data-end=\"1944\" \/>\n<h3 data-start=\"1946\" data-end=\"1972\"><strong data-start=\"1950\" data-end=\"1972\">3. Grafiksel Yorum<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1974\" data-end=\"2068\">Mutlak gelir hipotezinin grafiksel g\u00f6sterimi do\u011frusal bir t\u00fcketim fonksiyonunu ortaya koyar:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"2070\" data-end=\"2503\">\n<li data-start=\"2070\" data-end=\"2148\">\n<p data-start=\"2072\" data-end=\"2148\"><strong data-start=\"2072\" data-end=\"2087\">C = Co + cY<\/strong> do\u011frusu, t\u00fcketimin gelir d\u00fczeyine ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterir.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2149\" data-end=\"2266\">\n<p data-start=\"2151\" data-end=\"2266\">Do\u011fru \u00fczerindeki herhangi bir noktay\u0131 orijine ba\u011flayan \u00e7izginin e\u011fimi, ilgili gelir d\u00fczeyindeki <strong data-start=\"2247\" data-end=\"2254\">APC<\/strong>\u2019yi verir.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2267\" data-end=\"2378\">\n<p data-start=\"2269\" data-end=\"2378\">Gelir d\u00fczeyi artt\u0131k\u00e7a bu \u00e7izgilerin e\u011fimi azal\u0131r, bu da <strong data-start=\"2325\" data-end=\"2366\">ortalama t\u00fcketim e\u011filiminin d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc<\/strong> g\u00f6sterir.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2379\" data-end=\"2503\">\n<p data-start=\"2381\" data-end=\"2503\">Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k do\u011frunun e\u011fimi, yani <strong data-start=\"2416\" data-end=\"2421\">c<\/strong>, sabit kal\u0131r. Bu da <strong data-start=\"2442\" data-end=\"2485\">marjinal t\u00fcketim e\u011filiminin de\u011fi\u015fmedi\u011fi<\/strong> anlam\u0131na gelir.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"2505\" data-end=\"2597\">\u00d6zetle, gelir y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e t\u00fcketim mutlak olarak artar, ancak gelirin t\u00fcketilen oran\u0131 azal\u0131r.<\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"2599\" data-end=\"2602\" \/>\n<h3 data-start=\"2604\" data-end=\"2650\"><strong data-start=\"2608\" data-end=\"2650\">4. Politika Analizleri A\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00d6nemi<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2652\" data-end=\"2827\">Mutlak gelir hipotezi, makroekonomik politikalar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131mlar sunar. Devletler, maliye politikalar\u0131n\u0131 planlarken bu ili\u015fkinin do\u011fas\u0131n\u0131 dikkate almak zorundad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<h4 data-start=\"2829\" data-end=\"2871\"><strong data-start=\"2834\" data-end=\"2871\">a) Gelir Art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve T\u00fcketim Talebi<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p data-start=\"2872\" data-end=\"3150\">Vergi indirimleri veya transfer \u00f6demeleri yoluyla harcanabilir geliri art\u0131rmak, t\u00fcketimi de art\u0131r\u0131r. Ancak, <strong data-start=\"2980\" data-end=\"2989\">c &lt; 1<\/strong> oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in, gelirdeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n t\u00fcketim \u00fczerindeki etkisi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131r. Bu, geni\u015fletici maliye politikalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7arpan etkisinin neden sonsuz olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klar.<\/p>\n<h4 data-start=\"3152\" data-end=\"3183\"><strong data-start=\"3157\" data-end=\"3183\">b) Tasarruf E\u011filimleri<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p data-start=\"3184\" data-end=\"3377\">Gelir artt\u0131k\u00e7a ortalama t\u00fcketim e\u011filimi d\u00fc\u015fer, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k tasarruf oran\u0131 y\u00fckselir. Bu, y\u00fcksek gelirli bireylerin ekonomik sistemde yat\u0131r\u0131m finansman\u0131nda daha b\u00fcy\u00fck rol oynamas\u0131na neden olur.<\/p>\n<h4 data-start=\"3379\" data-end=\"3418\"><strong data-start=\"3384\" data-end=\"3418\">c) Gelir Da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 Politikalar\u0131<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p data-start=\"3419\" data-end=\"3625\">D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli bireylerin marjinal t\u00fcketim e\u011filimi genellikle y\u00fcksektir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla toplam talebi art\u0131rmay\u0131 hedefleyen politikalar, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelir gruplar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik transferlerle daha etkili sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furur.<\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"3627\" data-end=\"3630\" \/>\n<h3 data-start=\"3632\" data-end=\"3689\"><strong data-start=\"3636\" data-end=\"3689\">5. Mutlak Gelir Hipotezine Y\u00f6neltilen Ele\u015ftiriler<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"3691\" data-end=\"3834\">Keynes\u2019in yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131, k\u0131sa vadeli analizlerde \u00f6nemli bir a\u00e7\u0131klay\u0131c\u0131 g\u00fcce sahip olsa da, uzun vadede baz\u0131 eksiklikleri nedeniyle ele\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<h4 data-start=\"3836\" data-end=\"3874\"><strong data-start=\"3841\" data-end=\"3874\">a) Gelecek Gelir Beklentileri<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p data-start=\"3875\" data-end=\"4057\">Keynes\u2019e g\u00f6re t\u00fcketim yaln\u0131zca bug\u00fcnk\u00fc gelirle belirlenir. Ancak sonraki \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar, t\u00fcketim kararlar\u0131n\u0131n gelecekteki gelir beklentilerinden ciddi \u015fekilde etkilendi\u011fini g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<h4 data-start=\"4059\" data-end=\"4108\"><strong data-start=\"4064\" data-end=\"4108\">b) Duesenberry\u2019nin G\u00f6reli Gelir Hipotezi<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p data-start=\"4109\" data-end=\"4340\">Duesenberry, bireylerin t\u00fcketim kararlar\u0131n\u0131n toplumdaki di\u011fer bireylerin gelir d\u00fczeyine ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011funu savunmu\u015ftur. Yani insanlar, yaln\u0131zca kendi gelir d\u00fczeylerini de\u011fil, ba\u015fkalar\u0131yla olan <strong data-start=\"4298\" data-end=\"4320\">g\u00f6reli konumlar\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> da dikkate al\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n<h4 data-start=\"4342\" data-end=\"4394\"><strong data-start=\"4347\" data-end=\"4394\">c) Modigliani\u2019nin Ya\u015fam Boyu Gelir Hipotezi<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p data-start=\"4395\" data-end=\"4624\">Modigliani\u2019ye g\u00f6re t\u00fcketim, bireylerin ya\u015fam d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc boyunca elde etmeyi bekledikleri toplam gelire ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r. \u00d6rne\u011fin, gen\u00e7 ya\u015fta d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli bireyler bor\u00e7lanarak daha y\u00fcksek t\u00fcketim yapabilirler; bu Keynesyen modele ayk\u0131r\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<h4 data-start=\"4626\" data-end=\"4672\"><strong data-start=\"4631\" data-end=\"4672\">d) Friedman\u2019\u0131n S\u00fcrekli Gelir Hipotezi<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p data-start=\"4673\" data-end=\"4900\">Friedman, t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 gelir unsurlar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011funu savunur. Ge\u00e7ici gelir art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 t\u00fcketimi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u015fekilde etkiler. Keynes\u2019in modeli bu ayr\u0131m\u0131 dikkate almad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in uzun vadeli tahminlerde yetersiz kal\u0131r.<\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"4902\" data-end=\"4905\" \/>\n<h3 data-start=\"4907\" data-end=\"4954\"><strong data-start=\"4911\" data-end=\"4954\">6. Modern Yakla\u015f\u0131mlar ve Veri Analiti\u011fi<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"4956\" data-end=\"5103\">G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde makroekonomi, Keynesyen t\u00fcketim fonksiyonunu do\u011frudan kullanmaktan ziyade, onu daha geli\u015fmi\u015f modellerin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 h\u00e2line getirmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"5105\" data-end=\"5476\">\n<li data-start=\"5105\" data-end=\"5190\">\n<p data-start=\"5107\" data-end=\"5190\"><strong data-start=\"5107\" data-end=\"5132\">Panel veri analizleri<\/strong> ile farkl\u0131 gelir gruplar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcketim tepkileri \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcr.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"5191\" data-end=\"5312\">\n<p data-start=\"5193\" data-end=\"5312\"><strong data-start=\"5193\" data-end=\"5229\">Davran\u0131\u015fsal ekonomi yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131<\/strong>, sosyal normlar\u0131n ve psikolojik fakt\u00f6rlerin t\u00fcketim \u00fczerindeki etkisini inceler.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"5313\" data-end=\"5476\">\n<p data-start=\"5315\" data-end=\"5476\"><strong data-start=\"5315\" data-end=\"5365\">Dinamik stokastik genel denge (DSGE) modelleri<\/strong> i\u00e7inde Keynesyen t\u00fcketim fonksiyonu, gelir-t\u00fcketim ili\u015fkisinin temel yap\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131 olarak kullan\u0131lmaya devam eder.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"5478\" data-end=\"5637\">Bu yeni y\u00f6ntemler sayesinde, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar hem k\u0131sa vadeli t\u00fcketim tepkilerini hem de uzun vadeli gelir-tasarruf dengelerini daha do\u011fru \u00f6ng\u00f6rebilmektedir.<\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"5639\" data-end=\"5642\" \/>\n<h3 data-start=\"5644\" data-end=\"5660\"><strong data-start=\"5648\" data-end=\"5660\">7. Sonu\u00e7<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"5662\" data-end=\"5792\">Mutlak gelir hipotezi, t\u00fcketim davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n analizinde temel bir \u00e7er\u00e7eve sunar. Keynes\u2019in \u00fc\u00e7 varsay\u0131m\u0131 bu hipotezi destekler:<\/p>\n<ol data-start=\"5794\" data-end=\"6016\">\n<li data-start=\"5794\" data-end=\"5871\">\n<p data-start=\"5797\" data-end=\"5871\"><strong data-start=\"5797\" data-end=\"5869\">T\u00fcketim bug\u00fcnk\u00fc gelire ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r, faiz oranlar\u0131 belirleyici de\u011fildir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"5872\" data-end=\"5959\">\n<p data-start=\"5875\" data-end=\"5959\"><strong data-start=\"5875\" data-end=\"5957\">Gelir artt\u0131k\u00e7a t\u00fcketim artar fakat gelir art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyede kal\u0131r.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"5960\" data-end=\"6016\">\n<p data-start=\"5963\" data-end=\"6016\"><strong data-start=\"5963\" data-end=\"6016\">Gelir y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e ortalama t\u00fcketim e\u011filimi d\u00fc\u015fer.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p data-start=\"6018\" data-end=\"6345\">Bu hipotez, makroekonomik politika tasar\u0131mlar\u0131nda h\u00e2len \u00f6nemli bir rol oynamaktad\u0131r. Ancak, bireylerin t\u00fcketim kararlar\u0131n\u0131n gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik beklentiler, sosyal k\u0131yaslamalar ve servet etkileriyle daha karma\u015f\u0131k bi\u00e7imde \u015fekillendi\u011fi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Keynesyen yakla\u015f\u0131m modern modellerin yaln\u0131zca bir par\u00e7as\u0131 h\u00e2line gelmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mutlak gelir hipotezi t\u00fcketimle harcanabilir ki\u015filsel gelirdeki de\u011fi\u015fimlerin ili\u015fkisini inceler. \u00a0Keynes Genel Teori \u2018de t\u00fcketim konusunda \u00fc\u00e7 varsay\u0131mda bulunmu\u015ftur. Bunlardan birincisi, faiz haddinin klasik iktisat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n ileri s\u00fcrd\u00fcklerinin aksine t\u00fcketim \u00fczerinde belirleyici bir rol\u00fcn\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 &#8211; t\u00fcketimin gelir d\u00fczeyine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fi hususudur. Keynes\u2019in Genel Teori \u2018de t\u00fcketim konusunda benimsedi\u011fi ikinci varsay\u0131m, harcanabilir ki\u015fisel gelir art\u0131nca<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":4818,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,47],"tags":[228,287,334],"class_list":{"0":"post-4816","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-jeoekonomik-makro-veriler","8":"category-makro-ekonomik-analizler","9":"tag-faiz","10":"tag-iktisat-sozlugu","11":"tag-keynesyen-iktisat"},"better_featured_image":{"id":4818,"alt_text":"Mutlak Gelir Grafi\u011fi","caption":"","description":"","media_type":"image","media_details":{"width":474,"height":295,"file":"2023\/09\/Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Grafigi.jpg","filesize":16989,"sizes":{"medium":{"file":"Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Grafigi-300x187.jpg","width":300,"height":187,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","filesize":5032,"source_url":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Grafigi-300x187.jpg"},"thumbnail":{"file":"Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Grafigi-150x150.jpg","width":150,"height":150,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","filesize":2438,"source_url":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Grafigi-150x150.jpg"},"bunyad-small":{"file":"Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Grafigi-150x93.jpg","width":150,"height":93,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","filesize":1717,"source_url":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Grafigi-150x93.jpg"},"bunyad-medium":{"file":"Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Grafigi-450x280.jpg","width":450,"height":280,"mime-type":"image\/jpeg","filesize":8932,"source_url":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Grafigi-450x280.jpg"}},"image_meta":{"aperture":"0","credit":"","camera":"","caption":"","created_timestamp":"0","copyright":"","focal_length":"0","iso":"0","shutter_speed":"0","title":"","orientation":"0","keywords":[]}},"post":4816,"source_url":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Mutlak-Gelir-Hipotezi-Grafigi.jpg"},"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4816","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4816"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4816\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5577,"href":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4816\/revisions\/5577"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4818"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4816"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4816"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/datakapital.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4816"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}